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As Donald Trump prepares for a potential second presidency, the stock market faces uncertainty due to proposed tariffs and corporate tax rate changes. While optimism exists around a pro-business agenda and rising interest in cryptocurrencies, concerns about inflation and regulatory impacts could lead to increased market volatility in 2025. Investors are advised to maintain a long-term strategy amidst these fluctuations.
The stock market gains following Donald Trump's election victory are nearly erased, with the S&P 500's return since Election Day at about 0.5%. This marks the worst performance for the index between an election and inauguration since 2009, as inflation concerns and rising Treasury yields overshadow initial optimism for tax cuts and deregulation. Policymakers are now questioning the feasibility of Trump's proposed tariffs and tax cuts, which could exacerbate inflation and the U.S. deficit.
Investors are hoping for a "Santa Claus Rally" as December shows disappointing returns, despite a strong overall performance in 2024. The S&P 500 is up over 23% for the year, but rising Treasury yields and a lack of broad market strength raise concerns about future gains. With eight of the eleven sectors in negative territory, analysts suggest caution before buying into the market.
Friday the 13th is often viewed as an unlucky day, but historical data reveals a positive trend for the stock market on this date. Since 1928, the S&P 500 has averaged a gain of 0.09% on Friday the 13th, outperforming typical Friday closes and all trading days. Notably, the worst performance occurred in October 1989, when the S&P 500 dropped 6.1% following a failed buyout of United Airlines' parent company.
Adam Turnquist
People
The information provided herein is generated by experimental artificial intelligence and is for informational purposes only.
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